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October  2022 DST Monthly Landscape Commentary ~ Is $10 Billion Invested in DST Equity Reachable     

By Al DiNi­co­la, AIF®
Octo­ber 15, 2022
DST 1031 Spe­cial­ist
NAMCOA® — Naples Asset Man­age­ment Com­pa­ny®, LLC
Secu­ri­ties offered through MSC-BD, LLC

DST Invest­ment Reach New Lev­els.

As we start the fourth quar­ter of the year spon­sors of Delaware Statu­to­ry Trusts (DSTs) con­tin­ue to bring prod­uct to a thirsty mar­ket. Cash investors as well as 1031 tax deferred exchange investors seek refuge in Secu­ri­tize Offer­ings. DST offer­ings are found in the same asset class­es as oth­er com­mer­cial real estate but with a secu­ri­ty wrap­per around the asset. DSTs are struc­tured to enable indi­vid­ual investors the abil­i­ty to invest in larg­er and poten­tial­ly more expen­sive prop­er­ties (along with oth­er investors) to ben­e­fit from high­er val­ue assets. Under­ly­ing demo­graph­ics , i.e., the aging of baby boomers, have arrived at a point in their lives where their goals have changed. Goals may include mov­ing out of active man­age­ment of real estate and seek­ing hands-off man­age­ment. There are also the ben­e­fits of the pas­sive nature of DSTs as well as the poten­tial gen­er­a­tional wealth strat­e­gy afford­ed to all 1031 tax deferred exchanges when there may be a step up in basis. A step up in basis would occur when the investor pass­es the asset to their heirs. The step up in basis may result in the elim­i­na­tion of cap­i­tal gains and oth­er ben­e­fits.

2022 Poten­tial Record-Break­ing Year for DST invest­ment

Ear­li­er this year we report­ed the dol­lar vol­ume of equi­ty invest­ed into DSTs dur­ing 2021. $7.4 Bil­lion was invest­ed in 2021. That amount was more than the pre­vi­ous two years com­bined. At the end of Sep­tem­ber 2022 there is a report­ed $7.76 Bil­lion of equi­ty invest­ed. There is an expec­ta­tion that the total equi­ty could reach $10 Bil­lion in 2022. There has been a major shift in the asset allo­ca­tion of equi­ty being invest­ed. Mul­ti­fam­i­ly which typ­i­cal­ly rep­re­sents 50% of offer­ings and 50% of equi­ty invest­ed has been reduced. Mul­ti­fam­i­ly invest­ed equi­ty as a per­cent­age of equi­ty is about 39.1%. Indus­tri­al has become more avail­able and cur­rent­ly rep­re­sents 26.2% of the invest­ed equi­ty. Retail is at 9.2% and Self-stor­age 8.4% of the equi­ty invest­ed. Office does have a fol­low­ing at 6.5% and Senior Hous­ing at 5.9%. The oth­er asset class­es will make up the rest of the invest­ed equi­ty. There have been lim­it­ed offer­ings in Hos­pi­tal­i­ty, Man­u­fac­tured Hous­ings, Stu­dent Hous­ing and Med­ical Office. The bal­ance of the year may reflect sim­i­lar results since mul­ti­fam­i­ly and Indus­tri­al each make up 41% of the avail­able equi­ty (total­ly 82% of all offer­ings).

Tim­ing is the Key

Investors and advi­sors are focus­ing on avail­abil­i­ty and process to ensure suc­cess­ful acqui­si­tion. One of the typ­i­cal met­rics in the res­i­den­tial real estate mar­ket is called “Days on Mar­ket”. The same analy­sis can be per­formed in the DST space. The aver­age days on mar­ket has dropped over the past three years:
• Aver­age Days on Mar­ket (2020): 200 days, Medi­an: 164
• Aver­age Days on Mar­ket (2021): 107 days, Medi­an: 69
• Aver­age Days on Mar­ket (2022): 88 days, Medi­an: 82

Offer­ing Size Increas­es

Of inter­est may be the scale of the assets that are being offered.
• In 2015 the aver­age offer­ing (deal) size was $10.2 M.
• In 2019 the aver­age offer­ing moved up to $20.4 M.
• In 2021 the aver­age offer­ing size increased to $27.9 M.
• At the end of Sep­tem­ber 2022, the aver­age size offer­ing is $42.6 M.
This was a dra­mat­ic increase. When we con­trast the aver­age days on mar­ket decreas­ing (sell­ing quick­er) and the offer­ing size increasing(size of offer­ing becom­ing larg­er) there is a real urgency to under­stand the dynam­ics of the mar­ket. Advi­sors need to align the investor needs and goals with the poten­tial offer­ings. The good news for investors is that the shelf life or the num­ber of offer­ings that are avail­able may cor­re­spond to your 45-day iden­ti­fi­ca­tion peri­od. Cash investors have always been able to pull the trig­ger on their selec­tion.

Mar­ket Demand con­tin­ues to be strong

The demand for the DST offer­ings con­tin­ues to be strong. The week­ly absorp­tion of equi­ty may illus­trate the strength of the mar­ket.
• The aver­age equi­ty raised per week in 2021 was $155 M.
• Aver­age equi­ty raised through Sep­tem­ber 2022 was $199.7M.
There is no secret with ris­ing inter­est rates that the pro­ject­ed returns may be low­er than in past years. How­ev­er, the over­all appeal to the pas­sive income, no man­age­ment duties, and tax favored return entice many investors take an inter­est in the DST option. Sim­i­lar to new home sales and home price index, 1031 exchanges (includ­ing DSTs) are con­sid­ered to be a lag­ging indi­ca­tor.

Full cycle Exit strat­e­gy.

There is one item that is note­wor­thy with regards to full cycle activ­i­ty. The def­i­n­i­tion of full cycle is the suc­cess­ful acqui­si­tion of the asset by the spon­sor, the suc­cess­ful sub­scrip­tion of the offer­ing or asset by investors and then the ulti­mate sale of the asset at an accept­able prof­it by the spon­sors to the ben­e­fit of the investors.

As a note the investor at the full cycle event will typ­i­cal­ly have three options.

  1. Accept pro­ceeds and pay cap­i­tal gains.
  2. Arrange 1031 into anoth­er DST.
  3. Arrange a 1031 into a tra­di­tion­al real estate asset.

Some DST may offer a 4th option of mov­ing into a 721 UPREIT.

Over the past year (2021) as real estate val­ues increased in many areas of the coun­try DST spon­sor sold assets or prop­er­ties. Rents were increas­ing result­ing in an increase in net oper­at­ing income (NOI). The increase in NOI cor­re­lat­ed to an increased val­u­a­tion or pur­chase price. Cur­rent DST assets (for exam­ple mul­ti­fam­i­ly) are expe­ri­enc­ing high occu­pan­cies, and sta­ble cash flows. The increase in inter­est rates for acqui­si­tion (a full cycle sale to anoth­er par­ty) has demon­strat­ed a slow­down in DST sell­ing or going full cycle. There is no urgency for spon­sors to sell the prop­er­ties espe­cial­ly with strong cash flows. Many spon­sors cal­cu­late an exit strat­e­gy or a tar­get exit sales price that pro­tect the investor equi­ty as well as an inter­nal rate of return met­ric. Spon­sors (actu­al­ly the Mas­ter Ten­ant) will sim­ply con­tin­ue to col­lect the rents and return dis­tri­b­u­tion to the indi­vid­ual investors.

Fourth Quar­ter Crys­tal Ball

The indus­try may or may not hit the $10 B mark of invest­ed equi­ty. What we have seen is an increase in the num­ber of offer­ings and the geo­graph­i­cal diver­si­fi­ca­tion of the offer­ings. A key ele­ment for any investor is to ful­ly under­stand the DST acqui­si­tion process with the assis­tance of your advi­sor. Investors using a 1031 tax deferred exchange need to under­stand the local real estate dynam­ic and how your local mar­ket will respond to the poten­tial sale of your prop­er­ty. How­ev­er, as a 1031 investor as well as cash investors it is nev­er too ear­ly to seek guid­ance and edu­ca­tion.

Keep up with oth­er top­ics on DSTNews.org
https://dstnews.org/

DSTs are not for all investors. The acqui­si­tion of a DST is for accred­it­ed investors only. Con­tact your invest­ment advis­er for addi­tion­al details on how a DST may be a solu­tion to your 1031 Exchange and suit­ed for your invest­ment future. For more infor­ma­tion on how to prop­er­ly set up an IRC 1031Tax Deferred Exchange or if you are an accred­it­ed investor and would like addi­tion­al infor­ma­tion on a DST con­tact Al DiNi­co­la at 239–691-8098 or email adinicola@namcoa.com.

This is not an offer to pur­chase or solic­i­ta­tion to pur­chase any secu­ri­ty, as such be made only through an offer­ing mem­o­ran­dum or prospec­tus. Invest­ing in secu­ri­ties, real estate, or any invest­ment, whether pub­lic or pri­vate, involves risk, includ­ing but not lim­it­ed to the poten­tial of los­ing some or all of your invest­ment dol­lars when you invest in secu­ri­ties. You should review any planned finan­cial trans­ac­tions that may have tax or legal impli­ca­tions with your per­son­al tax or legal advi­sor. NAMCOA, LLC is a Reg­is­tered Invest­ment Advi­sor, reg­u­lat­ed by SEC (Secu­ri­ties and Exchange Com­mis­sion). Our cor­po­rate office is locat­ed at 999 Van­der­bilt Beach Road, Suite 200, Naples Flori­da 34108. Secu­ri­ties Offered through MSC-BD, LLC, Mem­ber of FINRA/SIPC. 1719 NW Edgar Street, McMin­nville, OR 97128 MSC-BD, LLC and NAMCOA are inde­pen­dent­ly owned and are not affil­i­at­ed.
Thank you.
NAMCOA® — Naples Asset Man­age­ment Com­pa­ny®, LLC

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